Wednesday, April 07, 2010

Another analysis of the Democratic judicial primaries


Another analysis of the Democratic judicial primaries
In summing up the results, endorsements were important, but some endorsements mattered than others, and campaign funds raised mattered very little. The Houston Black American Democrats endorsement seemed to be the most influential in terms of prospects for victory. Their organizational push to get the vote out seems to have paid off. In addition, being a female candidate was a good predictor of victory, suggesting that Democratic primary voters were more interested in electing women to the bench than men. This could be the result of a concerted effort by organizations devoted to making the judiciary more diverse, or this could be a demographic effect where more women voting in the primary translated into more votes for female candidates.
Generally, all things being equal or being equally ignorant about the candidates, I know many Democrats who vote for the female candidate. There is a perception of less corruption and also the feeling of making up for past under representation.

3 comments:

joel hanes said...

Or it could be that female Democratic judicial candidates are, on average, materially superior to their male counterparts in ways that matter to primary voters.

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
rob said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.