Poll: Kerry ahead by 8 points

Following a slate of good news on all fronts Bush numbers continue to decline. If Nader doesn't run Kerry leads 53% - 45%, with Nader in the race Kerry leads 48% - 44% - 6%.

Ruy Teixeira has some analysis of recent polls, including the interesting Mother Jones results. Among other things he notes that the LA Times 13% Democrat lead in party identification may not be much of an outlier.

We Democrats and liberals may not be all that happy with public statements and positions from the Kerry camp this election as his major goal is to get the independent and swing voters. However, as Bush continues to sink in the polls that may be a non-issue as those swing voters want a change in direction and Kerry has more room to swing and point out the failures of the last four years.

The electoral vote polls are now leaning Bush's way - My DD has 274 - 264. The map shows why Edwards would be a good pick, to convert over the border states of the South. Richardson for the SouthWest states would be another good choice.

In a closer analysis, Kerry wins the popular vote by more than Gore and picks up one more state but still loses the electoral count. (However, it is still early yet and some of the trends are not in Bush's favor.)

I did not get a chance to intoduce a resolution calling for the President to be elected by direct popular vote at the State Convention.