Friday, June 27, 2003

MoveOn Primary Results - The Real Story is Kucinich and the losers



As expected Dean lead the primary with 44% of the vote. He was followed by Kucinach with 24% and Kerry with 16%. The next highest was Edwards with 3%.

Kuchinach with 24% and none outside the top 3 over 3%. Amazing.

From what I can tell Kucinach had done little organizing and there was no buzz at all. He gives amazing speeches and his heart is in exactly the right place but I am still shocked.

None of the others mustering more than a few thousand votes. Wake up and smell the coffee folks. There is no enthusiam for these other candidates

Wesley Clark had almost 3,000 votes as a non-campaigning, no organization, write-in candidate.

Graham, who has almost been written off as a conservative candidate, received more votes than Lieberman, 7755 to 6095.

If the DLC wants to have a voice they need to get behind Graham or Clark and dump Lieberman. They should also quit trying to smear Dean and worry more about Kucinich if they fear the party is going too far to the left. A better result would be to get behind Dean or Kerry but that may be asking too much.

The radical GOP campaign for Sharpton went less than nowhere unless they organized for Kucinich instead and with the numbers the vote pulled, more than all of the early primaries, they should be a small fraction of the vote.

The follow up phone survey was a very good idea and show that Lieberman had a huge "overvote", 1.9% in the results, 1.2% in the survey. Kerry and Kucinich also did less than a percent worse in the survey. Braun and undecided did less than one percent better.

This seems mostly a hard-core Democratic voter, as it should be for a Democratic straw vote primary which will generate money. Over 28% would enthusiasticlly support any Democratic candidate and Dean, Kerry, and Kuchinach were the clear leaders there as well with 86 to 68 percent enthusiastic support.

Lieberman is a loserman in this indicator as well with only 42% enthusiastic supporters, below Braun's 51% but above the 35% for Sharpton.

Some surprising results, the DLC and the Democratic party should study this.

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