Every Horse Race Needs a Bookie...

The Electoral Challenge of the election has a new modeler at UT posting at Burnt Orange Report. Nice column and maps, I like the model. (EL - sorry, the maps just disappeared. Might have been a strain on the server.)

Gephardt is posting a similar map on his web site showing why the GOP views him as the biggest threat to Bush.

Burnt Orange also talks about Dean's Southern problem which I now worry much more about.

It isn't just a Southern problem. That Democrats cannot win the South if they nominate a "damn Yankee" has been known for decades.

I just wonder how anti-war and pro-gay civil unions and other cultural issues will play in the battleground states. The GOP still mostly has the media and they definitely have $200 million dollars to play PR with.

I am a strong supporter of Dean's positions but I still look at other candidates to see if some other may have the best shot of getting more moderates and independents.

I am also dismayed and depressed at the number of Democrats who still back this Iraq policy, who support the President while disagreeing with nearly all of his decisions, and who refuse to acknowledge the biggest pattern of repeated lies and dishonest spin in the last 100 years of American Presidents.