Kerry Winning

A new statistical study puts a Kerry Win at over 98% probability. Lots of charts in the links.

Another study gives the poll analysis that has Kerry at 311 EV.

Reports on left-leaning sites (from comments and dairies) that the PAX network and Sinclair Broadcasting are running versions of "Stolen Honor" the Kerry smear ad, all over the country. By the stealth method they are running, claiming it is an infomercial, the GOP kept it out of mainstream political discourse this weekend. Call 1-800-NEWSMAX to talk about it on their dime.

Tucker Carlson and many of the smarter conservatives are pretty much conceding the election to Kerry. Fox News this Sunday talks about their poll showing a tie but their scrawl shows a 1% Kerry lead. Reports of huge turnouts in Democratic counties, up 50 to 200% from 2000, modest increases in GOP counties. A report out of Florida has Kerry at a double digit lead in early voting. This after the Florida GOP party urged all Republicans to vote early. The slant from the far right conservatives is that the media is biased against Bush and starting to claim registration and vote fraud. (Registration fraud like their trashing of Democratic registrations? Somehow it is not mentioned except one top GOP official defending it!) Hitchins has given a different presidential endorsement in each of three publications he writes for - 2 for Bush, 1 for Kerry.

ADDED - The Counter to Stolen Honor, Going Upriver. is converting college campuses.

Bush Planned to Invade Iraq before election. Claims his father lost because he wasn't a war president. This is from two conservative journalists. Also note the typical Bush teams smears against one journalist not sufficiently loyal should cause the journalist to reconsider other peoples stories of being smeared by Bush.

- Bush admitted that he failed to fulfill his Vietnam-era domestic National Guard service obligation, but claimed that he had been “excused.” This contradicts recent stories.

- Bush revealed that after he left his Texas National Guard unit in 1972 under murky circumstances, he never piloted a plane again. Several Bush instances where he had said otherwise.

“He told me that as a leader, you can never admit to a mistake,” Herskowitz said. “That was one of the keys to being a leader.”

Twelve ways the GOP is now stealing the Ohio vote

Should Kerry go after the GOP moderates these last two days? Bush has failed them by fiscal irresponsibility, religious extremism, overt imperialism, raising partisanship instead of fostering bi-partisanship, and favoring Wall Street over Main Street.

Latest right-wing talk radio lunacy. They are attacking Teresa Heinz Kerry for paying less than 13% of her income in taxes. This rate is a result of the Bush tax cut cult for millionaires lowering the dividend rate to 15%. If they object to this why aren't they blaming Bush for the tax cuts? The person who pays the taxes isn't to blame , the person who created the tax rates is. Of course, they don't really object to this. This is just another faux indignation the GOP talking points creators thought up.