Going to the partisan National Review I see they analyze Pat Toomey's loss as a result of the GOP establishment ignoring principles and grassroots to pile on the pressure. I have the same feeling about Kerry's victory over Dean except it was an even more extreme example.
Since very close to half of Toomey's supporters said they felt they could not vote for Specter in the general election I see a possible Democratic pickup. Dean's loss happened earlier enough and the opposition to Bush is so strong the same feeling won't have much influence on the Presidential election. Although I have noticed some activists now refuse to give to the national Democratic party or work for the Kerry campaign.
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